YUMC technical analysis
YUMC Technical Analysis
Analysis date
July 15, 2026
Market
NYSE (USD)
Daily cutoff
July 14, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
YUMC Data Verification
Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.
- Symbol
- YUMC
- Market
- NYSE
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- July 14, 2026
No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.
| Source | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yahoo Finance Chart API (primary) | 42.56 | July 14, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Finviz (independent) | 42.56 | July 14, 2026 (previous close) | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
YUMC Technical Analysis Summary
YUMC (Yum China Holdings) presents a cautiously optimistic technical picture as of mid-July 2026. On the daily chart, price at 42.56 is above SMA20 (40.92, +4.01%) and SMA50 (39.78, +6.99%), indicating constructive short-term momentum. The stock remains below SMA200 (44.15, -3.60%), reflecting the longer-term downtrend that has not yet fully reversed. RSI14 at 58.32 sits above the 50 midline with a bullish tilt, while the daily MACD line at 0.35 has crossed above the signal line at 0.24 with a positive histogram of 0.11 — a modest bullish crossover confirming improving momentum. The weekly chart shows a more neutral picture: price at 42.56 is between SMA20 (41.80) and SMA50 (43.10) but below SMA200 (46.50). Weekly RSI at 54.20 reflects balanced momentum with a slight bullish bias. Key resistance lies at SMA200 daily (44.15) and the 60-day high (44.80). Support sits at 40.50 (20-day low) and 38.20 (60-day low). A decisive move above 44.15 would be needed to shift the longer-term outlook bullish.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (July 14, 2026)
- Trend
- Cautiously bullish short-term. Price at 42.56 is above SMA20 (40.92, +4.01%) and SMA50 (39.78, +6.99%) but trails SMA200 (44.15, -3.60%). SMA20 and SMA50 are sloping upward while SMA200 remains flat to slightly declining, reflecting the stocks recovery from its recent lows against the backdrop of a longer-term downtrend.
- Momentum
- Bullish but not overextended. RSI14 at 58.32 is above the 50 midline, indicating positive momentum without approaching overbought territory (70+). MACD line at 0.35 has crossed above the signal line at 0.24, and the histogram at 0.11 is positive — a clean bullish crossover signal that aligns with the price recovery.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 1.12 (2.63% of price) suggests average daily movement near 2.6%. Bollinger Bands (38.80 to 43.60) show price in the upper half of the range with moderate band width, consistent with a trending recovery phase.
- Volume
- Near average. Latest volume of 4,215,000 is approximately 92% of the 20-period average (4,580,000), indicating standard participation levels. Volume patterns show modest accumulation during the recent upswing.
Assessment
The daily chart shows a stock that has recovered meaningfully from its recent lows and reclaimed its intermediate-term moving averages. The MACD bullish crossover adds conviction to the recovery move. The key unresolved issue is the SMA200 at 44.15, which represents the final major resistance before the trend can be considered fully bullish. The 52-week position at 48.5% places YUMC in the middle of its annual range, consistent with a recovery that has room to develop. Volume is supportive but not emphatic. A push above 44 with above-average volume would be a significant positive development.
Weekly (July 6, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Neutral with a developing upward bias. Price at 42.56 is above SMA20 (41.80) but below SMA50 (43.10) and SMA200 (46.50). SMA20 is beginning to slope upward from a flat position, which could be an early sign of a trend shift. The stock has been oscillating in a broad range roughly between 35 and 48 over the past year.
- Momentum
- Slightly bullish. RSI14 at 54.20 is above the 50 midline but not yet in strongly bullish territory. MACD line at 0.15 is near the signal line at 0.10, with a small positive histogram of 0.05. Momentum is leaning positive at the weekly level but has not yet confirmed a sustained uptrend.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 2.10 (4.93% of price) reflects typical weekly ranges for a mid-cap consumer cyclical stock with China exposure. Bollinger Bands (38.50 to 47.20) show price moving toward the upper half of the weekly range.
- Volume
- Slightly below average. Weekly volume of 18,500,000 is approximately 87% of the 20-week average (21,264,000), indicating slightly reduced participation during the summer period.
Assessment
The weekly chart reflects a stock that is transitioning from a downtrend to a potential recovery phase. YUMC has been under pressure over the past year due to macro headwinds in China consumer spending. The current price above the weekly SMA20 for the first time in several months is a constructive sign. However, the stock needs to clear SMA50 (43.10) and eventually SMA200 (46.50) to confirm a lasting trend change. The RSI near 54 suggests building but not excessive momentum. A weekly close above 43.50 would be the first meaningful step toward a bullish reversal.
Key indicators
YUMC Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 58.32 | 54.20 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | 0.35 / 0.24 / 0.11 | 0.15 / 0.10 / 0.05 |
| ATR (14) | 1.12 (2.63%) | 2.10 (4.93%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 38.80 - 43.60 | 38.50 - 47.20 |
| SMA (20) | 40.92 | 41.80 |
| SMA (50) | 39.78 | 43.10 |
| SMA (200) | 44.15 | 46.50 |
Price structure
YUMC Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 42.56 | 42.56 |
| 1-Period Return | +1.14% | +1.82% |
| 5-Period Return | +3.25% | +5.40% |
| 20-Period Return | +6.80% | +8.50% |
| 60-Period Return | +4.20% | +2.30% |
| 252-Period Return | -8.40% | -10.20% |
| 52-Week Low | 34.60 | 34.60 |
| 52-Week High | 49.80 | 49.80 |
| 52-Week Position | 48.50% | 48.50% |
Key levels
YUMC Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 43.80 | 44.50 |
| 20-Period Low | 40.50 | 39.20 |
| 60-Period High | 44.80 | 48.50 |
| 60-Period Low | 38.20 | 34.60 |
Scenarios
YUMC Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price breaks above SMA200 (44.15) and the 60-day high (44.80) on the daily chart with above-average volume, targeting the 52-week high near 50.
Invalidation
Price falls back below SMA50 (39.78) and breaks the 20-day low at 40.50.
What to watch
Daily RSI holding above 55; MACD histogram continuing to expand; weekly RSI moving above 55; volume increasing on break attempts above 44; KFC and Pizza Hut same-store sales trends in China.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price continues to oscillate between SMA200 resistance near 44 and SMA50 support near 40, consistent with the broader recovery/consolidation pattern.
Invalidation
A decisive break above 45 or below 39 with increasing volume.
What to watch
RSI staying between 45 and 60; MACD histogram fluctuating around zero; volume remaining near average levels; macroeconomic data from China and consumer spending indicators.
Bearish
Trigger
Price fails to hold above SMA50 (39.78) and breaks below the 20-day low at 40.50, potentially retesting the 60-day low near 38.20 and the 52-week low at 34.60.
Invalidation
Price reclaims and holds above SMA20 (40.92) and establishes a higher low above 40.50.
What to watch
Daily RSI falling below 50; MACD histogram turning negative; volume increasing on down days; a break of 38 support would open the door to a test of the 52-week low near 34.60; China regulatory or consumer sentiment shifts.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (501 completed bars) ending July 14, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (261 completed bars) ending the week of July 6, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 14, 2026, weekly July 6, 2026 week. Generated July 15, 2026.
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