VIV technical analysis

VIV Technical Analysis

Analysis date

July 18, 2026

Market

NYSE (USD)

Daily cutoff

July 17, 2026

Reliability

Passed

Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.

Data verification

VIV Data Verification

Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.

Symbol
VIV
Market
NYSE
Currency
USD (US Dollar)
Latest completed bar
July 17, 2026

No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.

SourceLatest CloseDateDifferenceStatus
Yahoo Finance Chart API (primary)13.28July 17, 2026-Verified
Finviz (independent)13.28July 17, 2026 (previous close)0.00%Verified

Bottom line

VIV Technical Analysis Summary

VIV (Telefônica Brasil) is in a neutral-to-cautious technical position. On the daily chart, price at 13.28 sits below SMA20 (13.35) and SMA50 (13.93) while remaining well below SMA200 (13.84), indicating bearish moving-average alignment in the near term. RSI14 at 47.89 is slightly below the 50 midline, reflecting mild bearish momentum. The daily MACD shows the MACD line at -0.03 near the signal line at -0.05 with the histogram hovering near zero, suggesting momentum is indecisive. On the weekly timeframe, the trend remains weak with price below all key SMAs and RSI14 at 44.82, confirming the broader bearish structure. Key resistance stands at the SMA50 (13.93) and SMA200 (13.84) cluster, while near-term support sits at 12.90 and deeper support at the 52-week low of 10.79. A recovery above both moving averages would be needed to shift the outlook from neutral to constructive.

Multi-timeframe dashboard

Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard

Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.

Daily (July 17, 2026)

Trend
Neutral to bearish. Price at 13.28 is below SMA20 (13.35, -0.52%) and SMA50 (13.93, -4.67%) and below SMA200 (13.84, -4.05%). The moving averages are in a bearish configuration with SMA20 below SMA50 and SMA200 declining gradually. The price has been oscillating in a tight range between 12.90 and 13.60 over the past several sessions without establishing a clear directional bias.
Momentum
Neutral with slight bearish bias. RSI14 at 47.89 sits just below the 50 midline, indicating slightly negative momentum without oversold conditions. MACD line at -0.03 is near the signal line at -0.05 with the histogram at 0.02, close to zero. This near-flat MACD setup reflects the lack of a strong directional impulse in either direction.
Volatility
Low to moderate. ATR14 at 0.28 (2.11% of price) suggests relatively contained daily swings consistent with a large-cap telecom stock. Bollinger Bands (12.78 to 13.85) show moderate width with price near the middle band, reflecting the absence of a strong trend. Band width has been narrowing, suggesting a potential expansion move ahead.
Volume
Below average. Latest volume is approximately 65% of the 20-period average, indicating reduced participation. The lack of volume conviction on both up and down moves reinforces the neutral assessment. A volume spike would be needed to confirm the next directional move.

Assessment

The daily chart paints a picture of consolidation with a slight bearish tilt. Price has been range-bound between roughly 12.90 and 13.60 for several weeks, with RSI hovering near 50 and MACD essentially flat. The stock is below all major SMAs, and the moving-average configuration favors sellers. The narrowing Bollinger Bands suggest a volatility expansion is possible, but the direction is unclear from current indicators alone. A break above 13.60 would target the SMA50 at 13.93, while a break below 12.90 would open a path toward the 52-week low at 10.79.

Weekly (July 13, 2026 week)

Trend
Bearish. Price at 13.28 is below SMA20 (13.82), SMA50 (14.25), and SMA200 (14.50). The weekly structure has been in a gradual decline since early 2025 when the stock traded above 16.00. SMA20 and SMA50 are sloping downward, confirming the intermediate-term bearish trend.
Momentum
Neutral with bearish bias. Weekly RSI14 at 44.82 is below the 50 midline, reflecting the broader bearish momentum context. MACD line at -0.08 is below the signal line at -0.04, and the histogram is negative at -0.04, consistent with a persistent but not accelerating downtrend.
Volatility
Moderate. ATR14 at 0.55 (4.14% of price) reflects typical weekly ranges for this ADR. Bollinger Bands (12.80 to 15.40) are moderately wide with the lower band near the 52-week low area.
Volume
Near average. Weekly volume trends are consistent with historical norms for this stock, with no unusual accumulation or distribution patterns evident.

Assessment

The weekly chart confirms the bearish structure. Price has been below all major SMAs since early 2025, and the moving averages remain in a bearish alignment. The RSI below 50 and negative MACD are consistent with an ongoing downtrend, though the pace of decline has slowed. The stock appears to be in a basing phase after the decline from 16.00+, but there is no technical evidence yet of a trend reversal.

Key indicators

VIV Key Technical Indicators

RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.

IndicatorDailyWeekly
RSI (14)47.8944.82
MACD (12, 26, 9)-0.03 / -0.05 / 0.02-0.08 / -0.04 / -0.04
ATR (14)0.28 (2.11%)0.55 (4.14%)
Bollinger Bands (20, 2)12.78 - 13.8512.80 - 15.40
SMA (20)13.3513.82
SMA (50)13.9314.25
SMA (200)13.8414.50

Price structure

VIV Price Structure and Returns

Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.

MetricDailyWeekly
Current Price13.2813.28
1-Period Return-0.23%+0.61%
5-Period Return+1.30%+2.15%
20-Period Return-2.78%-1.92%
60-Period Return-5.01%-9.05%
252-Period Return-8.67%-12.40%
52-Week Low10.7910.79
52-Week High16.4816.48
52-Week Position35.93%35.93%

Key levels

VIV Support and Resistance Levels

Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.

LevelDailyWeekly
20-Period High13.6014.35
20-Period Low12.9012.80
60-Period High14.5016.48
60-Period Low10.7910.79

Scenarios

VIV Technical Scenarios

Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.

Bullish

Trigger

Price breaks above the SMA50/SMA200 cluster (13.84-13.93) on the daily chart with above-average volume, establishing a recovery pattern.

Invalidation

Price falls below the 20-day low at 12.90 and resumes the intermediate-term downtrend.

What to watch

Daily RSI climbing above 55; MACD histogram turning and staying positive; weekly RSI reclaiming the 50 midline; volume increasing on up days.

Range-Bound

Trigger

Price continues to oscillate between 12.90 support and 13.60 resistance with no clear directional bias, maintaining the current consolidation phase.

Invalidation

A decisive break above 13.60 or below 12.90 on increasing volume.

What to watch

RSI staying between 40 and 55; MACD histogram fluctuating around zero; Bollinger Bands continuing to narrow; volume remaining subdued.

Bearish

Trigger

Price breaks below the 20-day low at 12.90 and heads toward the 52-week low at 10.79, resuming the longer-term downtrend.

Invalidation

Price holds above 12.90 and reclaims SMA20 (13.35) with improving momentum.

What to watch

Daily RSI falling below 40; MACD histogram turning more negative; weekly RSI declining below 40; volume increasing on down days.

Methodology

Methodology and Limitations

This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (501 completed bars) ending July 17, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (261 completed bars) ending the week of July 13, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 17, 2026, weekly July 13, 2026 week. Generated July 18, 2026.