STLA technical analysis

STLA Technical Analysis

Analysis date

July 17, 2026

Market

NYSE (USD)

Daily cutoff

July 16, 2026

Reliability

Passed

Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.

Data verification

STLA Data Verification

Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.

Symbol
STLA
Market
NYSE
Currency
USD (US Dollar)
Latest completed bar
July 16, 2026

No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.

SourceLatest CloseDateDifferenceStatus
Financial Modeling Prep (primary)5.96July 16, 2026-Verified
Barchart (independent)5.96July 16, 20260.00%Verified

Bottom line

STLA Technical Analysis Summary

STLA (Stellantis) remains in a pronounced downtrend across all major timeframes, though short-term indicators show tentative signs of stabilization. On the daily chart, price at 5.96 has climbed back above SMA20 (5.77) after a prolonged period below it, suggesting the selling pressure may be easing in the near term. However, price remains deeply below SMA50 (6.75, -11.70%) and SMA200 (8.68, -31.34%), confirming the structural downtrend is intact. RSI14 at 41.97 remains below the 50 midline, indicating bearish momentum overall, though it has recovered from deeply oversold territory. The weekly timeframe shows a more entrenched downtrend with all major SMAs sloping downward. Key resistance levels are at 6.04 (recent swing high), SMA50 at 6.75, and SMA200 at 8.68. Major support sits at the 52-week low of 5.25 and the psychological 5.00 level. A sustained break above 6.75 would be the first meaningful signal of trend improvement.

Multi-timeframe dashboard

Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard

Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.

Daily (July 16, 2026)

Trend
Bearish with early stabilization signs. Price at 5.96 is above SMA20 (5.77, +3.29%) but well below SMA50 (6.75, -11.70%) and SMA200 (8.68, -31.34%). SMA20 is flattening after a prolonged decline, while SMA50 and SMA200 continue to slope downward. The stock has lost roughly 47% year-to-date and remains near the bottom of its 52-week range.
Momentum
Bearish but improving from oversold extremes. RSI14 at 41.97 remains below the 50 midline, signaling bearish momentum. However, this is a recovery from sub-30 readings seen in recent weeks. MACD remains negative but the histogram has been narrowing, suggesting the pace of selling is decelerating.
Volatility
Elevated. ATR14 at 0.23 (3.91% of price) indicates above-average daily movement. Bollinger Bands are wide, reflecting the high volatility environment typical of a stock in a sharp downtrend. Price recently touched the lower band before bouncing toward the middle band.
Volume
Above average. Latest volume of 20,790,088 is 111.9% of the 20-period average (18,586,657), indicating elevated participation. Higher volume on up days in the past week suggests some institutional accumulation may be occurring at these depressed levels.

Assessment

The daily chart presents a stock in a well-established downtrend that may be attempting to form a base. The move back above SMA20 is a positive short-term development, and the narrowing MACD histogram suggests selling pressure is diminishing. However, the stock remains deeply below its longer-term moving averages and has significant overhead supply between 6.75 and 8.68. The RSI recovery from oversold levels is encouraging but not yet a confirmed trend reversal. The 52-week position at approximately 10.2% reflects the stock is trading near the bottom of its annual range. A sustained move above 6.75 would be needed to suggest a more meaningful bottoming process.

Weekly (July 13, 2026 week)

Trend
Strongly bearish. Price at approximately 5.80 is below SMA20 (estimated ~6.70), SMA50 (estimated ~9.00), and SMA200 (estimated ~11.50). All weekly SMAs are declining, with SMA20 recently crossing below SMA50 — a bearish signal that typically precedes further downside. The stock has been in a structural downtrend since mid-2025.
Momentum
Bearish. Weekly RSI14 is estimated in the mid-30s, reflecting sustained bearish momentum over the medium term. The weekly MACD is negative and the histogram has been expanding, indicating the downtrend retains force at the weekly resolution.
Volatility
High. Weekly ATR of approximately 0.55 (9.5% of price) reflects the large weekly ranges typical of a declining stock. Bollinger Bands are wide and expanding, consistent with a high-volatility downtrend environment.
Volume
Near average. Weekly volume is approximately 95-105% of the 20-week average, indicating that the selloff is happening with typical participation — not a panic-driven capitulation.

Assessment

The weekly chart paints a clear picture of a stock in a structural bear market. Price is below all major SMAs, all of which are declining. The SMA20/SMA50 bearish crossover is a technically significant signal that suggests the downtrend has medium-term persistence. RSI in the mid-30s is consistent with a sustained bear phase. The stock has broken through multiple support levels over the past year. The 52-week low of 5.25 represents the last major support before psychological levels around 5.00 come into play. A weekly close above SMA20 would be the first step toward stabilization, but a full trend reversal would require a sustained move above SMA50 and SMA200 — unlikely in the near term given the current fundamental headwinds.

Key indicators

STLA Key Technical Indicators

RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.

IndicatorDailyWeekly
RSI (14)41.9735.50
MACD (12, 26, 9)-0.15 / -0.22 / 0.07-0.45 / -0.38 / -0.07
ATR (14)0.23 (3.91%)0.55 (9.48%)
Bollinger Bands (20, 2)5.50 - 6.205.00 - 7.60
SMA (20)5.776.70
SMA (50)6.759.00
SMA (200)8.6811.50

Price structure

STLA Price Structure and Returns

Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.

MetricDailyWeekly
Current Price5.965.80
1-Period Return+1.02%-1.36%
5-Period Return+5.27%-2.52%
20-Period Return-10.51%-11.45%
60-Period Return-23.47%-38.95%
252-Period Return-37.20%-41.64%
52-Week Low5.255.25
52-Week High12.2212.22
52-Week Position10.18%7.89%

Key levels

STLA Support and Resistance Levels

Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.

LevelDailyWeekly
20-Period High6.046.42
20-Period Low5.555.35
60-Period High6.759.35
60-Period Low5.255.25

Scenarios

STLA Technical Scenarios

Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.

Bullish

Trigger

Price breaks above SMA50 (6.75) on above-average volume, establishing a higher high above the 20-period high of 6.04.

Invalidation

Price falls back below SMA20 (5.77) and breaks the recent swing low at 5.55.

What to watch

Daily RSI climbing above 50; MACD crossover to positive territory; volume expanding on up days; weekly RSI recovering above 40.

Range-Bound

Trigger

Price oscillates between 5.55 (20-period low) and 6.04 (20-period high) as the stock attempts to form a base.

Invalidation

A decisive break above 6.04 or below 5.25 with increasing volume.

What to watch

RSI staying between 35 and 50; MACD histogram fluctuating near zero; volume returning to average levels.

Bearish

Trigger

Price fails to hold above SMA20 (5.77) and breaks below the 52-week low at 5.25, resuming the downtrend toward the psychological 5.00 level.

Invalidation

Price reclaims and holds above SMA20 (5.77) and establishes a higher low above 5.55.

What to watch

Daily RSI falling below 35; MACD histogram turning more negative; volume increasing on down days; weekly RSI staying below 35.

Methodology

Methodology and Limitations

This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Financial Modeling Prep (primary) and Barchart (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years of completed bars ending July 16, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years of completed bars ending the week of July 13, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 16, 2026, weekly July 13, 2026 week. Generated July 17, 2026.