RYAAY technical analysis
RYAAY Technical Analysis
Analysis date
July 16, 2026
Market
NasdaqGS (USD)
Daily cutoff
July 15, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
RYAAY Data Verification
Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.
- Symbol
- RYAAY
- Market
- NasdaqGS
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- July 15, 2026
No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close within tolerance). RYAAY does not pay a dividend, so no dividend adjustment is necessary.
| Source | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yahoo Finance Chart API (primary) | 117.06 | July 15, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Finviz (independent) | 117.06 | July 15, 2026 (previous close) | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
RYAAY Technical Analysis Summary
RYAAY (Ryanair Holdings) shows a mixed technical picture as of mid-July 2026. On the daily chart, price at 117.06 is trading above SMA20 (113.41, +3.22%) but essentially at SMA50 (117.02, +0.03%) and below SMA200 (130.53, -10.32%). This suggests short-term momentum is constructive, but the longer-term structure remains bearish with price well below the 200-day moving average. RSI14 at 55.26 sits in neutral territory, indicating a lack of strong directional conviction. The daily MACD shows the MACD line at 1.35 above the signal line at 0.12 with a positive histogram of 1.23, a bullish crossover signal that has gained traction over recent sessions. However, the weekly chart paints a more cautious picture. Price at 116.30 on the weekly timeframe is below SMA20 (119.90), SMA50 (122.97), and SMA200 (134.83), confirming the intermediate-term downtrend remains intact. Weekly RSI at 48.88 is below the 50 midline, reflecting lingering bearish momentum at the weekly level. The stock is essentially range-bound between support near 107.80 (60-day low) and resistance around 125.38 (52-week high), with a 52-week position of 42.08% suggesting it trades in the lower half of its annual range.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (July 15, 2026)
- Trend
- Mixed. Price at 117.06 is above SMA20 (113.41, +3.22%) but essentially at SMA50 (117.02, +0.03%) and well below SMA200 (130.53, -10.32%). SMA20 is sloping upward while SMA50 is flat and SMA200 continues to decline, reflecting the tension between short-term improvement and long-term downtrend. The stock is caught between the declining SMA200 overhead and the rising SMA20 below.
- Momentum
- Neutral with bullish bias. RSI14 at 55.26 is above the 50 midline but below 60, indicating mildly bullish momentum without strong conviction. MACD line at 1.35 has crossed above the signal line at 0.12, and the histogram at 1.23 is positive and expanding — a bullish crossover signal that is gaining momentum. The positive MACD crossover is the most constructive signal on the daily chart.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 2.52 (2.15% of price) reflects typical daily ranges for a large-cap airline. Bollinger Bands (108.53 to 121.87) show price in the upper half of the bands, consistent with the recent upward move. Band width is moderate, indicating normal volatility conditions.
- Volume
- Above average. Latest volume of 4,578,900 is 121.6% of the 20-period average (3,764,000), indicating increased participation in the recent rally. The elevated volume on up days is a positive sign for the sustainability of the short-term move.
Assessment
The daily chart shows encouraging short-term developments. The bullish MACD crossover is a technically meaningful signal, and the stock has reclaimed SMA20 while printing above-average volume. However, the long-term trend remains bearish as evidenced by the declining SMA200 at 130.53. The flat SMA50 at 117.02 represents near-term resistance; a decisive move above this level would strengthen the bullish case. The 52-week position at 42.08% reflects the stock remains in the lower half of its annual range. The stock needs to break above SMA50 with conviction and establish a foothold above 120 to challenge the broader downtrend.
Weekly (July 6, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Bearish. Price at 116.30 is below SMA20 (119.90), SMA50 (122.97), and SMA200 (134.83). All key weekly moving averages are sloping downward, confirming a structural downtrend. The stock has been declining since the 52-week high of 125.38, with lower highs and lower lows forming over the past several months.
- Momentum
- Neutral with bearish bias. RSI14 at 48.88 is below the 50 midline, indicating slightly bearish momentum at the weekly level. MACD line at -0.20 is below the signal line at 0.51, with a negative histogram at -0.71, confirming that bearish momentum still prevails on the intermediate timeframe.
- Volatility
- Moderate. Weekly ATR14 at 4.25 (3.65% of price) reflects normal weekly ranges for an airline stock. Bollinger Bands (107.83 to 131.17) show price in the lower half of the bands, consistent with the ongoing downtrend.
- Volume
- Near average. Weekly volume is consistent with the 20-week average, indicating no abnormal distribution or accumulation patterns.
Assessment
The weekly chart confirms that RYAAY remains in a bearish structure with price below all major SMAs and declining moving averages. The weekly RSI below 50 and the negative MACD confirm that bearish momentum persists at the intermediate timeframe. The stock has been forming a potential base between 107.80 and 125.38 since late 2025. The current weekly price at 116.30 is in the middle of this range, offering no clear directional edge at the weekly level. A weekly close above SMA20 (119.90) would be the first step toward trend improvement, followed by SMA50 (122.97). The key support at the 52-week low equivalent of 107.80 needs to hold to prevent further deterioration.
Key indicators
RYAAY Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 55.26 | 48.88 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | 1.35 / 0.12 / 1.23 | -0.20 / 0.51 / -0.71 |
| ATR (14) | 2.52 (2.15%) | 4.25 (3.65%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 108.53 - 121.87 | 107.83 - 131.17 |
| SMA (20) | 113.41 | 119.90 |
| SMA (50) | 117.02 | 122.97 |
| SMA (200) | 130.53 | 134.83 |
Price structure
RYAAY Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 117.06 | 116.30 |
| 1-Period Return | +1.47% | +1.04% |
| 5-Period Return | +3.21% | +3.88% |
| 20-Period Return | +3.77% | +7.89% |
| 60-Period Return | +9.52% | +4.31% |
| 252-Period Return | +0.85% | -2.63% |
| 52-Week Low | 95.83 | 95.83 |
| 52-Week High | 125.38 | 125.38 |
| 52-Week Position | 42.08% | 39.65% |
Key levels
RYAAY Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 121.87 | 124.04 |
| 20-Period Low | 110.29 | 108.80 |
| 60-Period High | 125.38 | 125.38 |
| 60-Period Low | 107.80 | 95.83 |
Scenarios
RYAAY Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price breaks above SMA50 (117.02) and SMA20 weekly (119.90) on above-average volume, followed by a move through the 60-day high at 125.38. A bullish MACD crossover on the weekly chart would confirm the trend change.
Invalidation
Price fails at SMA50 (117.02) and falls back below SMA20 daily (113.41) and the 20-day low at 110.29.
What to watch
Daily RSI holding above 55; MACD histogram continuing to expand; volume sustaining above average on up days; weekly RSI reclaiming the 50 midline.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price continues to oscillate between the 60-day low at 107.80 and the 60-day high at 125.38, with no clear directional bias. RSI fluctuates between 40 and 60 on both timeframes.
Invalidation
A decisive break above 125.38 or below 107.80 with increasing volume.
What to watch
RSI staying between 45 and 55; MACD histogram fluctuating around zero; volume remaining near average levels; the stock respecting the established range boundaries.
Bearish
Trigger
Price breaks below the 20-day low at 110.29 and the 60-day low at 107.80, resuming the broader downtrend toward the 52-week low at 95.83. The weekly MACD line would need to turn down further.
Invalidation
Price reclaims and holds above SMA20 daily (113.41) and establishes a higher low above 110.29.
What to watch
Daily RSI falling below 50; MACD histogram contracting; volume increasing on down days; weekly RSI falling below 45; any negative Ryanair-specific news such as Boeing delivery delays, fare pressure, or fuel cost increases.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (501 completed bars) ending July 15, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (261 completed bars) ending the week of July 6, 2026. Prices are adjusted for stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio (RYAAY does not pay dividends). Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 15, 2026, weekly July 6, 2026 week. Generated July 16, 2026.
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