ROIV technical analysis
ROIV Technical Analysis
Analysis date
July 17, 2026
Market
NasdaqGS (USD)
Daily cutoff
July 16, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
ROIV Data Verification
Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.
- Symbol
- ROIV
- Market
- NasdaqGS
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- July 16, 2026
No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.
| Source | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) | 11.52 | July 16, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Massive API (independent) | 11.52 | July 16, 2026 | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
ROIV Technical Analysis Summary
ROIV (Roivant Sciences) presents a mixed technical picture. On the daily chart, price at 11.52 sits above SMA20 (11.05) and SMA50 (10.78), suggesting short-term momentum is constructive. However, the stock remains below SMA200 (12.84), confirming the longer-term trend is still bearish. RSI14 at 55.21 indicates neutral-to-bullish momentum without overbought conditions. The daily MACD is in positive territory with the MACD line at 0.08 above the signal line at 0.03, and the histogram at 0.05 supports a mildly bullish bias. The weekly timeframe shows a more cautious picture with price below all key SMAs, though RSI at 48.72 has moved closer to the 50 midline. Key resistance lies at 11.97 (20-day high) and SMA200 at 12.84. Support rests at 10.53 (20-day low) and 9.01 (52-week low). A sustained move above 12.84 would be needed to shift the long-term trend from bearish to neutral.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (July 16, 2026)
- Trend
- Improving but mixed. Price at 11.52 is above SMA20 (11.05, +4.25%) and SMA50 (10.78, +6.86%) but remains below SMA200 (12.84, -10.28%). SMA20 and SMA50 are sloping upward while SMA200 continues to decline. The short-term trend has improved, but the stock has not yet reclaimed its long-term moving average.
- Momentum
- Mildly bullish. RSI14 at 55.21 is above the 50 midline, indicating bullish momentum without extreme readings. MACD line at 0.08 is above the signal line at 0.03, with a positive histogram of 0.05. This suggests continued bullish momentum, though the narrow spread between MACD and signal line warrants monitoring.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 0.41 (3.56% of price) suggests average daily movement of about 3.5%. Bollinger Bands (10.23 to 12.03) show price near the upper band, consistent with recent upward movement. Band width is moderate.
- Volume
- Below average. Latest volume of 3,842,500 is 62.4% of the 20-period average (6,158,500), indicating reduced participation. The recent price advance lacks strong volume confirmation, which suggests caution.
Assessment
The daily chart shows ROIV has established short-term upward momentum, reclaiming both SMA20 and SMA50. The MACD remains in bullish alignment. However, the stock is still in a longer-term downtrend as confirmed by the declining SMA200 and price below it. Volume has been lackluster during the rally, reducing conviction. A decisive move above SMA200 (12.84) would be a meaningful trend change signal. The 52-week position at 38.7% reflects the stock is in the lower half of its annual range.
Weekly (July 13, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Bearish with early stabilization. Price at 11.32 is below SMA20 (11.89), SMA50 (12.45), and SMA200 (13.92). The SMA20 is showing early signs of flattening but SMA50 and SMA200 continue to slope downward. The stock has been in a structural downtrend since its post-IPO highs above 18.00.
- Momentum
- Neutral. RSI14 at 48.72 is just below the 50 midline, reflecting a balanced momentum picture. MACD line at -0.12 is below the signal line at -0.08, and the histogram at -0.04 is negative but narrowing, suggesting bearish momentum is fading.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 0.52 (4.59% of price) reflects typical weekly ranges for a mid-cap biotech stock. Bollinger Bands (9.85 to 13.25) are moderately wide.
- Volume
- Near average. Weekly volume of 19,421,800 is 91.8% of the 20-week average (21,158,900), indicating typical participation levels.
Assessment
The weekly chart still reflects a bearish structure with price below all major SMAs. However, the narrowing MACD histogram and RSI approaching the 50 midline suggest the downtrend may be losing momentum. The stock has established a potential base around the 10.00 level, having bounced from the 52-week low of 9.01. A weekly close above SMA20 (11.89) would be the first step toward trend improvement. The current setup is more constructive than it was earlier in the year, but a confirmed trend reversal has not yet occurred.
Key indicators
ROIV Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 55.21 | 48.72 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | 0.08 / 0.03 / 0.05 | -0.12 / -0.08 / -0.04 |
| ATR (14) | 0.41 (3.56%) | 0.52 (4.59%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 10.23 - 12.03 | 9.85 - 13.25 |
| SMA (20) | 11.05 | 11.89 |
| SMA (50) | 10.78 | 12.45 |
| SMA (200) | 12.84 | 13.92 |
Price structure
ROIV Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 11.52 | 11.32 |
| 1-Period Return | +1.86% | +0.62% |
| 5-Period Return | +2.13% | +4.34% |
| 20-Period Return | +5.49% | +7.81% |
| 60-Period Return | +11.84% | +12.52% |
| 252-Period Return | -6.72% | -14.28% |
| 52-Week Low | 9.01 | 9.01 |
| 52-Week High | 17.63 | 17.63 |
| 52-Week Position | 38.70% | 36.54% |
Key levels
ROIV Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 11.97 | 12.85 |
| 20-Period Low | 10.53 | 10.12 |
| 60-Period High | 12.46 | 17.63 |
| 60-Period Low | 9.01 | 9.01 |
Scenarios
ROIV Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price breaks above SMA200 (12.84) on the daily chart with above-average volume, establishing an uptrend.
Invalidation
Price falls back below SMA20 (11.05) and breaks the 20-day low at 10.53.
What to watch
Daily RSI holding above 50; MACD histogram continuing to expand; weekly RSI crossing above 50; volume increasing on break attempts.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price oscillates between SMA20 support (11.05) and SMA200 resistance (12.84) with no clear directional bias.
Invalidation
A decisive break above 12.84 or below 10.53 with increasing volume.
What to watch
RSI staying between 45 and 60; MACD histogram fluctuating around zero; volume remaining near average levels.
Bearish
Trigger
Price fails to hold above SMA50 (10.78) and breaks below the 20-day low at 10.53, resuming the longer-term downtrend.
Invalidation
Price reclaims and holds above SMA20 (11.05) and establishes a higher low above 10.53.
What to watch
Daily RSI falling below 50; MACD histogram turning negative; volume increasing on down days; weekly MACD crossing back further below the signal line.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP, primary) and Massive API (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (501 completed bars) ending July 16, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (261 completed bars) ending the week of July 13, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 16, 2026, weekly July 13, 2026 week. Generated July 17, 2026.
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