NVMI technical analysis
NVMI Technical Analysis
Analysis date
July 17, 2026
Market
NasdaqGS (USD)
Daily cutoff
July 16, 2026
Reliability
Passed
Informational use only. This page is not investment advice.
Data verification
NVMI Data Verification
Cross-validating the latest completed daily bar across independent sources.
- Symbol
- NVMI
- Market
- NasdaqGS
- Currency
- USD (US Dollar)
- Latest completed bar
- July 16, 2026
No adjustment factor (adjusted close equals raw close, factor 1.0). No stock splits or dividend adjustments affecting the analysis period.
| Source | Latest Close | Date | Difference | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yahoo Finance Chart API (primary) | 236.50 | July 16, 2026 | - | Verified |
| Finviz (independent) | 236.50 | July 16, 2026 (previous close) | 0.00% | Verified |
Bottom line
NVMI Technical Analysis Summary
NVMI (Nova Ltd.) displays a technically constructive picture supported by strong fundamental tailwinds in semiconductor metrology. On the daily chart, price at 236.50 holds comfortably above SMA20 (228.40), SMA50 (220.15), and SMA200 (202.80), a classical bullish alignment. RSI14 at 61.45 indicates positive momentum without reaching overbought extremes. The daily MACD shows the MACD line above the signal line with a positive histogram at 1.85, confirming steady bullish momentum. The weekly timeframe reinforces this view with price above all major SMAs and RSI14 at 58.30, suggesting sustained upward trend structure. Key resistance lies near the all-time high zone around 248.00–252.00, while support sits at SMA50 (220.15) and the 60-day low of 212.50. The semiconductor equipment sector continues to benefit from AI-driven wafer fab equipment demand, with Nova's metrology solutions well-positioned for advanced node transitions.
Multi-timeframe dashboard
Multi-Timeframe Technical Dashboard
Comparing daily (2-year) and weekly (5-year) perspectives to identify aligned or conflicting signals.
Daily (July 16, 2026)
- Trend
- Bullish and well-structured. Price at 236.50 is above SMA20 (228.40, +3.55%), SMA50 (220.15, +7.43%), and SMA200 (202.80, +16.62%). All three moving averages are positively sloped, with the SMA200 showing a steady upward trajectory over the past year. The gap between SMA20 and SMA200 (approximately 25.60 points) indicates a healthy, extended uptrend without being excessively stretched.
- Momentum
- Bullish with room to run. RSI14 at 61.45 is firmly above the 50 midline, indicating bullish momentum without approaching the overbought threshold above 70. MACD line at 3.45 is above the signal line at 1.60, with a positive histogram of 1.85. The MACD has been consistently above the signal line since May 2026, reflecting sustained buying pressure.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 5.42 (2.29% of price) suggests average daily movement of approximately 2.3%. Bollinger Bands (217.80 to 248.70) show a moderate width with price near the upper end of the range, consistent with the current uptrend. Band width is relatively stable, indicating no significant volatility expansion.
- Volume
- Slightly below average. Latest volume of 158,400 is approximately 85% of the 20-period average (186,350). Volume has been trending modestly lower during the recent consolidation, which is not unusual for a stock in a measured uptrend. A volume pickup on a breakout above the 248 area would add conviction.
Assessment
The daily chart reflects a clear uptrend with bullish alignment of all major moving averages. The stock has been consolidating in the 228–248 range over the past four weeks, which appears to be a continuation pattern rather than a distribution top. RSI is comfortably in bullish territory without being overbought, MACD is positive and stable. The 52-week position at 78.4% suggests the stock is in the upper portion of its annual range but not at an extreme. The primary risk is that the stock has already priced in much of the semiconductor equipment cycle optimism.
Weekly (July 13, 2026 week)
- Trend
- Strongly bullish. Price at 232.80 is above SMA20 (214.50), SMA50 (198.30), and SMA200 (162.40). SMA20 recently crossed above SMA50 (a bullish golden cross) at the weekly level, and both are well above SMA200. This represents a fully established long-term uptrend.
- Momentum
- Bullish. RSI14 at 58.30 is above the 50 midline, indicating positive momentum. MACD line at 9.80 is above the signal line at 7.20, with a positive histogram at 2.60. The weekly MACD has been consistently positive since early 2025, confirming the durability of the uptrend.
- Volatility
- Moderate. ATR14 at 8.95 (3.84% of price) reflects typical weekly ranges for a mid-cap semiconductor equipment stock. Bollinger Bands (199.50 to 264.80) show moderate width with price in the upper half of the band range.
- Volume
- Near average. Weekly volume of 785,600 is approximately 92% of the 20-week average (853,900), indicating normal participation levels.
Assessment
The weekly chart confirms a strong structural uptrend. The golden cross (SMA20 above SMA50) is a technically meaningful bullish signal on the weekly timeframe. The stock has been in a consistent uptrend since late 2023, with higher highs and higher lows. The recent consolidation around the 228–248 area on the daily chart is visible on the weekly as a minor pause within an otherwise strong trend. The key question is whether NVMI can break above its all-time high zone near 252 to enter price discovery, or if it requires more time to consolidate.
Key indicators
NVMI Key Technical Indicators
RSI, MACD, moving averages, ATR, and Bollinger Bands across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Indicator | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 61.45 | 58.30 |
| MACD (12, 26, 9) | 3.45 / 1.60 / 1.85 | 9.80 / 7.20 / 2.60 |
| ATR (14) | 5.42 (2.29%) | 8.95 (3.84%) |
| Bollinger Bands (20, 2) | 217.80 - 248.70 | 199.50 - 264.80 |
| SMA (20) | 228.40 | 214.50 |
| SMA (50) | 220.15 | 198.30 |
| SMA (200) | 202.80 | 162.40 |
Price structure
NVMI Price Structure and Returns
Price performance across multiple lookback periods and 52-week position.
| Metric | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| Current Price | 236.50 | 232.80 |
| 1-Period Return | +1.20% | +0.85% |
| 5-Period Return | +2.45% | +4.20% |
| 20-Period Return | +5.80% | +8.90% |
| 60-Period Return | +12.60% | +18.30% |
| 252-Period Return | +32.40% | +38.50% |
| 52-Week Low | 172.80 | 172.80 |
| 52-Week High | 252.30 | 254.10 |
| 52-Week Position | 78.40% | 73.20% |
Key levels
NVMI Support and Resistance Levels
Key price levels based on recent swing highs and lows across daily and weekly timeframes.
| Level | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|
| 20-Period High | 248.70 | 254.10 |
| 20-Period Low | 217.80 | 207.50 |
| 60-Period High | 252.30 | 254.10 |
| 60-Period Low | 212.50 | 192.40 |
Scenarios
NVMI Technical Scenarios
Conditions, invalidation triggers, and what to watch for each scenario.
Bullish
Trigger
Price breaks above the 248–252 resistance zone (near all-time highs) with above-average volume, entering price discovery.
Invalidation
Price falls back below SMA20 (228.40) and breaks the 20-day low at 217.80.
What to watch
Daily RSI holding above 55; MACD histogram continuing to expand; weekly RSI above 55 sustained; volume increasing on breakout attempts; semiconductor sector (SMH) remaining in an uptrend.
Range-Bound
Trigger
Price continues to oscillate between SMA20 support (228.40) and the all-time high resistance zone (248–252), digesting recent gains.
Invalidation
A decisive break above 252 or below 217.80 with increasing volume.
What to watch
RSI staying between 50 and 65; MACD histogram fluctuating near current levels; volume declining during consolidation; semiconductor capital equipment order numbers.
Bearish
Trigger
Price breaks below SMA50 support (220.15) and the 60-day low at 212.50, suggesting a trend reversal or significant sector rotation.
Invalidation
Price reclaims and holds above SMA20 (228.40) and establishes support above 220.
What to watch
Daily RSI falling below 50; MACD histogram turning negative; volume increasing on down days; sector-wide semiconductor sell-off; deterioration in wafer fab equipment spending outlook.
Methodology
Methodology and Limitations
This technical analysis uses adjusted closing prices from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). The daily analysis covers approximately 2 years (501 completed bars) ending July 16, 2026. The weekly analysis covers approximately 5 years (261 completed bars) ending the week of July 13, 2026. Prices are adjusted for dividends and stock splits using the adjusted close/raw close ratio. Volume data is from the primary source and may not match other data providers. Technical indicators include SMA, RSI, MACD, ATR, and Bollinger Bands using standard parameters. Key levels are identified from recent swing highs and lows. Technical analysis studies historical price patterns and does not constitute investment advice. It should not be used as the sole basis for trading decisions.
Frequently Asked Questions
This technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance and historical patterns are not guarantees of future results. All investments carry risk, including the potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data sourced from Yahoo Finance (primary) and Finviz (independent cross-validation). Data cutoffs: daily July 16, 2026, weekly July 13, 2026 week. Generated July 17, 2026.
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